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Talk of Iranian war forces Hezbollah to preempt

Israel may or may not attack Iran, but Hezbollah cannot take chances. In the event of regime change in Tehran and concomitant replacement of Assad with a pro-Saudi ruler, Hezbollah would be left standing naked. Neither the West nor Israel or Lebanese Christians would think twice then before ousting it.

And so it would be silly for Hezbollah to wait for a possible showdown with Iran. Instead, it makes sense to attack Israel now with rockets, thus starting a controversial regional war to draw attention away from Iran, making possible a negotiated political settlement for Hezbollah to stay in power.

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Past coverage: Hezbollah
31.07 ICC exonerates Syria?
06.06 Just how worthless is Hezbollah?
22.04 Israeli deterrence eroded in Lebanon
15.03 Who supports Hezbollah in the Hague?
25.01 Lebanon: how the West lost
12.01 The West Bank scenario unfolds in Lebanon
23.12 You know that I know that you know
17.12 Hezbollah aims higher
16.12 Hezbollah has to take over Lebanon