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Lebanon

After Hezbollah’s leader Nasrallah resurrected himself from the underground and began again speaking to public, a chorus of Israeli government officials calls for assassinating him. The last time Israel assassinated the leader of Hezbollah, hundreds of Jews died in retaliation. Such assassinations change nothing: new capable leaders appear immediately.

Winograd:
The decision to go to war with Lebanon was correct (Who doubted that?)
The war ended without victory (What is a possible victory against terrorist organization? Invade Lebanon, as we tried and didn’t succeed before? Scorch half of Lebanon with napalm? Kill all bearded Lebanese?)
Last-minute ground operation was correct, but unsuccessful (How could a decision for a stupid two-day war be possibly correct?)
Both army and the government are to blame for errors (Doesn’t take brains to realize that much)
No officials are charged with failures (Winograd committee plays it nice)
The report basically exonerates Olmert.

and counting mightily, as Israeli government pays pensions to families of fallen soldiers.
That should have been enough to level Lebanon, or pay each active member of Hezbollah a million dollars to commit suicide.

Nasrallah lauded Winograd report as the confirmation of Hezbollah’s victory. Other than that, the report produced no noticeable results.
Israeli Arab MK a-Sana discussed Winograd report with Hezbollah terrorists held in Israeli jail.

Leader of Lebanese Druzes Jumblatt promises a war against Hezbollah if it continues destabilizing Lebanon. Interestingly, Jumblatt announced that Druzes would fight Hezbollah with its own rockets, implying that Druzes now have full access to Hezbollah’s rocket arsenals.

Israeli government warned all Jews abroad to refrain from assembling in large groups, following Nasrallah’s vow of revenge.
Hezbollah massively retaliated against Jews for the 1992 assassination of its previous leader, but otherwise kept its promise of fighting Israel only but not the soft targets: Jews abroad.
Mughniyeh’s assassination is great for Olmert, as he struggles to keep up his fledging government, and also for Barak, as an early start for his election campaign.
It is also possible that Mughniyeh was killed by the Lebanese who took revenge against Hezbollah for killing Rafik Hariri exactly three years ago.

positions (unrealistic report by Lebanese Saphir newspaper) 50,000 its men along the border with Israel.
Kill ‘em all, no?

Nazareth court denied the petition by captured Hezbollah’s fighters to be treating as POWs rather than criminals. The court called Hezbollah “Iranian assassins.”
If it looks like a duck and flies like a duck, then before the law it is a duck: but Israel refuses recognizing Hezbollah as a legitimate military group.
If Hezbollah is a bunch of Lebanese criminals, Israel had no right to bomb the country of Lebanon over their mischief. If they’re Iranian proxy, as the Israeli court declared, then Israel have to retaliate against Iran.

from Iran, capable of reaching Israeli targets even in the Negev.

As Rabbi Kahane used to say, “Peace between Jews and Arabs would be wonderful. Meanwhile, I’m waiting for peace between Arabs and Arabs in Lebanon. It’s so wonderful to see them all living together: Hezbollah, and Amal, and whoever else.”
Hezbollah’s leader Nasrallah announced that he recognizes a symbolic crackdown by th Lebanese government as a declaration of war. The US-propped government of Lebanon which also enjoys tacit support of mainstream Arab regimes, temporarily closed Hezbollah’s TV station for incitement, and fired the security chief of Beirut airport, a notorious venue for smuggling arms from Iran to Hezbollah. Nasrallah vowed to defend his right to bring arms from Iran, though the UN resolution which ended the 2006 war in Lebanon specifically calls for disarming Hezbollah. Of course, the brave peacekeepers tend to ignore that inconvenient clause while Israel screams of Hezbollah’s massive rearmament.
Israel likely pushes the US Administration to take a tougher stance Hezbollah, and indeed both the US, EU, and the Arab regimes grew irritated by Iran-Syria’s meddling in Lebanon. Every Arab country fears for its own Shiite population which Iran can steer at the next step.

The two days of a mini-civil war in Lebanon claimed 11 dead, dozens of casualties. That’s a better result than the average IDF’s day in Gaza.

The US-propped Lebanese government rescinded its two symbolic measures taken against Hezbollah: demoting the security head of the Beirut airport (the major link in smuggling weapons from Tehran) and taking down Hezbollah’s TV station for incitement.
The week of civil unrest left only 82 Arabs killed in Lebanon.

After the two years of standoff, the US-propped “democratic” government of Lebanon ceded more ministerial portfolios to Hezbollah, giving it the government majority.

Condi Rise realized she’s unable to bring out a comprehensive Israeli-Palestinian peace – in other word, she cannot convince Jews to give half of our country to Arab terrorists.
Now Rice demands that Israel gives Lebanon the Shebaa Farms, a tiny strip of land which Israel wants to give Syria. The Israeli idea is that, since peace with Syria, Israel’s arch-enemy since antiquity, is unlikely – Shebba Farms would stay Israeli.
Hezbollah claims Israeli occupation of Shebaa Farms as the sole reason for belligerency.

ABC reports US, Canadian intelligence sources on the increased interest of Hezbollah cells in those countries to Jewish targets, apparently in retaliation to the assassination of Mughniyeh, Hezbollah’s top man in Syria.
Der Spiegel earlier reported that Mughniye was killed by members of Syria intelligence community for betraying their putsch plans to Assad. The conspiracy was likely assisted by Israel.
The ABC reports is probably true. The last time Israel assassinated Hezbollah’s leader, there were hundreds of Jewish casualties.

The only tanks likely to appear in Lebanon are Israel’s. With such friends, who needs enemies?

Lebanon asks Arab donors for half a billion dollars to repair the Palestinian refugee camp destroyed by Lebanese army fighting Fatah al Islam terrorist group. That amounts to about $100,000 per refugee family.

Nasrallah claims that Hezbollah would demand Samir Kuntar and other Muslim terrorists in exchange for bodies of Regev and Goldwasser.
Israel had previously released minor terrorists in exchange for bodies, though the official policy remains “bodies for bodies.” Kuntar is a prized terrorist: horribly brutal, a celebrity among Arabs and leftist Jews, and unrepentant.
Thanks to his Jewish friends, Kuntar, a murderer of Jewish family, was allowed to father a number of children while in prison. The same privilege was denied to Yigal Amir for many years.

Lebanese government noted correctly that Hezbollah pushed Israel to the very same terms it refused before the 2006 Israeli war with Lebanon. Hezbollah was asking Israel to release Samir Kuntar. After Israel’s repeated refusals Hezbollah attacked an IDF outpost, took Regev and Goldwasser prisoners, and now exchanged their bodies for Kuntar.
Had Israeli government released Kuntar in early 2006, more than a hundred Israelis including Regev and Goldwasser would have been alive.

Now that the dispute between Israel and Hezbollah was limited to the minuscule mountain area of Shebaa Farms, it seemed probable that the conflict is nearing its end. Whether the high ground would be returned to Lebanon or Syria, Israel had no intention of keeping it, and Hezbollah’s claims against Israel seem to be satisfied.
A Hezbollah cleric Abdel al-Amir Kiblan declared that the terroriost group should fight to liberate the former Shiite villages in Israel.

Past coverage: Lebanon
12.06 Winograd found a single honest minister
26.06 UNIFIL in the IDF’s shoes
27.06 Lebanon’s own Jenin
04.07 Arab terrorists target UNIFIL
16.07 A lesson from Lebanon: tanks in refugee camp
22.07 Hezbollah prepares for peace
26.07 Lebanese army shells Palestinian refugees
14.08 Hezbollah bypasses UN peacekeepers
30.08 War is not a war for human rights groups
06.09 Pope claims special ties with Hezbollah
21.09 Syria restores its grip on Lebanon
23.09 Lebanon arrests a Jewish-German lover of Arabs
07.10 Israeli intelligence warns of Hezbollah
31.10 UN: Peacekeeping in Lebanon a success story
06.11 UN peacekeepers at work in Lebanon
15.11 Rocket fire from Lebanon was not Hezbollah's
14.12 Hezbollah denies Nasrallah was fired
08.01 Lebanon attacks Israel
11.01 IDF testifies to treason
18.01 Winograd: Olmert is not the culprit