The Egyptians have blown the whistle: the Israeli and US navies are operating in the Persian Gulf. The only plausible reason is to prepare for commando landings, as the Egyptians have correctly figured out. Special troops will deactivate Iranian air defenses and clear the way for an Israeli strike. IAF landing on American aircraft carriers in the Persian Gulf is a very remote possibility.
If true, the attack would mark another touch of genius, following the one we saw in the Gaza war. Commando raids so deep into enemy territory, with such wide goals, have never been tried before, and it would astonishing if Israel could accomplish them.
Such an attack would further confirm the changing rules of warfare: just as conventional warfare has become unacceptably destructive, states follow the terrorists’ lead and turn to low-profile operations: assassinations, the CIA drone wars, and now Iran.
By now, an Israeli strike on Iran seems unavoidable. The government has accepted the possibility of Iran procuring nuclear weapons from North Korea, but assumes that ayatollahs with a couple of A-bombs won’t risk a confrontation with Israel, which has some 200 of them.



