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Al Qaeda, why?

Debka has suggested that the Ethiopian airliner’s crash near Lebanon was a terrorist attack. This is possible, yes, but the plane could have exploded for more innocuous reasons.

But we see no basis for the conclusion that Al Qaeda was involved. Al Qaeda had no good reason to bomb a plane carrying Nasrallah and other Hezbollah leaders. They changed their tickets at the last minute.

It is also unlikely that Al Qaeda tipped Hezbollah’s people to change planes. They would rather call off the bombing than risk leaking their plans. Hezbollah would have informed the Ethiopians about the plan, since the terrorist group depends on Ethiopia for arms trafficking. Al Qaeda had no incentive at all to blow up an Ethiopian jet.

The bombing plot against Nasrallah might suggest Israeli involvement, but it is our long-standing policy to avoid huge collateral damage.

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Comments

Al Qaeda does have an incentive, though it might not be the reason or even point to involvement. Ethiopia was fighting against the Al Qaeda aligned Islamic Courts Movement in Somalia.

http://en.afrik.com/article16879.html

LV USA 15 February 2010

Theoretically, yes, though far-fetched, really

admin 16 February 2010

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