Recently I suggested that the US Administration had reached a separate peace agreement with Iran. According to the US-Iranian peace deal, Iran wound down its support for Iraqi guerrillas, and the US guaranteed it wouldn’t bomb the Iranian nuclear facilities. Iran made good on its promise, and allowed the US Administration the tactical PR victory of reduced casualties in Iraq. The US Administration waited to fulfill its part of the bargain until after the Annapolis peace show. Refusing to attack Iran over its nuclear program earlier would have likely derailed Israeli commitment to the Annapolis peace parley.

Immediately after Annapolis, in a highly unusual move, the US Administration allowed for the publication of an unclassified summary of the US intelligence report, which asserts that Iran wound down its nuclear program… in 2003, and now “only” enriches the uranium to weapons grade. The absurd report still suggests that Iran “may” produce a nuclear weapon before 2015. Still more ridiculously, the report suggests that Iran needs several more years to produce enough nuclear material for a bomb. In fact, Iran’s 3,000 centrifuges will produce enough fuel for two bombs within a year, and a Russian-built Bushehr reactor will allow Iran to harvest enough plutonium for a nuclear bomb in just four months. Such harvesting only requires the Iranians to stop the reactor for three weeks—not something they would hesitate to do even at the cost of reducing the power supply to the national grid.

The US intelligence on nuclear developments is laughable: it missed crucial developments in the Pakistani, North Korean, Libyan, and Syrian nuclear programs. Israel intelligence estimates that Iran will have a nuclear bomb by late 2008 or 2009. Iran has ballistic missiles, and all the technology for producing nuclear warheads from Pakistan and North Korea.

The US Administration tolerated Pakistani nuclear weapons. The US-North Korean nuclear arrangement amounts to a scam: North Korea merely shut down its reactor, transferred the technology to third countries, and remains ready to revamp its nuclear program at any moment. The US Administration similarly has no problem with Iran obtaining nuclear weapons. The US stand-off with Iran over the nuclear issue was meant only to push Iran to negotiate on Iraq. America will continue pushing for empty sanctions against Iran, but will not attack its nuclear facilities. The US Administration sold Israeli security for Iranian help in Iraq.