January 31
posted in United States
 
 

It pays to abandon political correctness

America has penchant for fighting the wars it cannot win. Rationalism, arrogance, and moralizing combine to create a losing strategy. The state wants to prove its hegemony to everyone; huge state cannot remain isolationist. Throughout the history, successful states expanded their size or influence. Isolationist niche states exist at others' mercy: in WWII, Switzerland was allowed to remain intact, but Belgium was overrun. States that cannot project their influence on others succumb to others' influence. The American imperial ambitions are unavoidably natural.

Successful empires realized their ambitions for centuries before retiring into affluent safety. Those who could not arrange for themselves political (Netherlands, Portugal) or territorial (Great Britain) safety died (Rome) under onslaught of competitors not yet effeminate. America, unlike Israel, is territorially isolated and could safely withdraw from the world affairs. Consumerism of the American public is conducive to isolationism. Ambitious political, military, corporate, and cultural elites (rather, cliques) oppose isolationism.

Imperialist projection of influence is a viable strategy, especially for the only military superpower. However, the US, like Israel, maneuvered itself into unique position of powerful weakness. Both countries have great fighting capability but lack the will to deploy it when necessary or profitable.

Human mentality persists throughout the history. It is inconceivable that the common reasons for wars - greed, hatred, and ambition - suddenly ceased to operate in our time. Indeed, German aggression was motivated by all three factors, and colonialist wars of greed took place still in the twentieth century. Idealistic moral standards the leftists imposed on voters resulted in twisted policies rather than peace. Profit is a good reason for war. When the US defended Kuwait and Saudi Arabia against Iraq, and later invaded Iraq, it should have expropriated their oil production or impose tribute. On the contrary, America succumbed to oil racket. The US defended South Korea against the North, and still guarantees its security, but suffers from trade conflicts with Korea. Similar situation holds with Japan whom the US protects against China, and Western Europe shielded against the USSR. America developed into philanthropic empire or rather the empire which pays others to accept its protection. Such an arrangement is not only unreasonable, but also unsustainable. Vassals keep asking for more and giving less. They refuse America even a token of loyalty: Saudi Arabia supports jihadists. They scourge America for failing to meet their demands and expectations. A mighty empire acts like a lowly servant.

Jews learned throughout our history that being weak and haughty is a recipe for being hated. Jews changed the situation for a short time in 1967: strong Jews did not arouse anti-Semitism. America traverses the same path: foreigners find it self-gratifying to taunt - fearlessly because with impunity - a weak giant. America's moralizing prompts the others to hate it.  The US cannot always live up to its declarations, and enemies catch it by its words and impeach its credibility.

The proper strategy for empire is nothing new: punishing expeditions performed with exemplary cruelty, tribute to cover the costs of peacemaking, and regional bases-colonies financed by plundering local resources. Anything else amounts to costly entertainment.

 

US Admiral William Fallon oddly declared that Iran is unlikely to produce nuclear weapons until mid-next decade. That is obvious nonsense. Iran has already received the bomb design from Pakistan and North Korea, uranium enrichment technology from China, and ballistic missiles from China and North Korea. Once the 3,000 centrifuges in Natanz produce enough weapons-grade material - a year at most - Iran needs a few more months to produce the nuclear weapon. Fallon's statement smells of Bush' shrieking responsibility for disarming the mullahs.

 
 
 
 
Uri Messer handled Morris Talansky donations for Olmert

Olmert’s long-time friend and fellow attorney Uri Messer reportedly cooperates with the police investigation against the prime minister regarding the American donations. The money in question were not Moshe Talansky’s but collected by him. It is unknown what part of the money Morris Talansky has pocketed. Thus, Talansky received $90,000 kickbacks as a salary in 2004 for collecting donations for Shaarei Tzedek Hospital. He is not donating his own money for the last decade.
Morris Talansky allegedly passed the money either directly to Olmert or to his secretary Shula Zaken. The funds were to be used for Olmert’s mayoral and the Knesset elections. Both Olmert and Shula Zaken passed the funds to Uri Messer to be spent for campaign purposes.
The transaction is technically illegal, but just every political party and figure in Israel collects unaccounted cash from foreign donors for political purposes. Olmert is also accused of appropriating part of the collected funds for himself. Even if true, that’s also a standard practice among Israel establishment and indeed in every country. The Knesset hypocrites who bring in tons of cash from American donors slammed Olmert for accepting money from Talansky.
Outrageously, the Likud MK’s demand ousting Olmert amid the investigation. It’s not even an issue of “innocent until proven guilty,” long forgotten in Israeli trial-by-media. Olmert isn’t even indicted, and the accusations are murky. But Olmert accepted money collected by Morris Talansky specifically for the Likud! Olmert used the money for Likud election campaigns in Jerusalem and the Knesset.
There are no hints whatsoever that Olmert did anything improper in return for the money.
The statute of limitations for campaign financing crimes had passed.
Uri Messer’s cooperation with the police investigation to implicate Olmert is unlikely, as there is just no reason for Messer to do so. The case would entirely hinge on his testimony, and why would he implicate both himself and Olmert? It is much easier for Uri Messer to deny any wrongdoing as did Olmert during a short press conference following lifting the gag order.
Uri Messer is married to Deputy Attorney General Davida Lachman-Messer, hilariously in charge of tax and corporate matters, the very field of Uri Messer’s purportedly illegal activities as an attorney. That makes is easier for Attorney General Mazuz to press Uri Messer to testify against Olmert.
We received a yet unconfirmed report of Uri Messer suffering an odd traffic incident. A sensible insurer won’t make a policy on his life now.



Bush reneges on his promise to Israel

Ariel Sharon was proud of the letter from George Bush he received shortly before destroying Jewish villages in Gaza, stating equivocally that Israel is expected to keep large settlement blocs in a peace deal with Arabs.
Under the pressure from their oil-rich Muslim cronies, Bush-Rice seek to abandon the explicit promise. After several White House officials pointed out the low legal status of the letter, Rice declared that any border changes are conditional on the agreement with Palestinians and that the situation today is different from what it has been when Bush gave Sharon the letter. In essence, the promise is abandoned and Rice acknowledged that her efforts made the situation worse for Israel.
US Administration has a history of reneging on its promises to Israel. The 1947 US vote in the UN in favor of creating Israel was revoked in 1948. Eisenhower promised Israel to keep the Tiran Straits open in return for Israeli withdrawal from the Sinai in 1957, but the US didn’t interfere when Egypt closed it in 1967.

Loyal Bedouin’s house set on fire

One Sana Elbaz, a Bedouin woman, played a loyal Arab during the Independence Day ceremony, participated in lighting the fire. The next day other loyal Arabs bombarded her house with Molotov cocktails.

Olmert says No to surrender

Palestinians and Syrians accused Olmert of derailing the suicidal “peace talks.” The Palestinians denied any substantial progress on the borders, and the Syrians refused severing ties with Iran as a condition of peace with Israel.
Ehud Barak was ready to give up Judea, Samaria, and Jerusalem under virtually no conditions. Netanyahu gave Hebron to Palestinians. But Olmert, a shrewd politician, withstands the immense pressure to surrender Judea, Samaria, and the Golan Heights to Arabs.

Jordan bans al Naqba, Palestinian catastrophe day

On the day that Israeli Jews celebrate the Independence Day, loyal Israeli Arabs, naturally, commemorate their catastrophe. That’s quite a sign of them accepting the Jewish state.
Jordan, a country more sane than the leftist Israel, prohibited its Palestinians to publicly commemorate al Naqba.

Drought in Israel

Water supply to Israeli public and national parks cut by a third. Israel continues uninterrupted, undiminished water supply to the Hamas state of Gaza, to Palestinian terrorists in the West Bank, and to Jordan.

Hezbollah works harder than IDF

The two days of a mini-civil war in Lebanon claimed 11 dead, dozens of casualties. That’s a better result than the average IDF’s day in Gaza.

 
 
 
 
Civil war looms in Lebanon

As Rabbi Kahane used to say, “Peace between Jews and Arabs would be wonderful. Meanwhile, I’m waiting for peace between Arabs and Arabs in Lebanon. It’s so wonderful to see them all living together: Hezbollah, and Amal, and whoever else.”
Hezbollah’s leader Nasrallah announced that he recognizes a symbolic crackdown by th Lebanese government as a declaration of war. The US-propped government of Lebanon which also enjoys tacit support of mainstream Arab regimes, temporarily closed Hezbollah’s TV station for incitement, and fired the security chief of Beirut airport, a notorious venue for smuggling arms from Iran to Hezbollah. Nasrallah vowed to defend his right to bring arms from Iran, though the UN resolution which ended the 2006 war in Lebanon specifically calls for disarming Hezbollah. Of course, the brave peacekeepers tend to ignore that inconvenient clause while Israel screams of Hezbollah’s massive rearmament.
Israel likely pushes the US Administration to take a tougher stance Hezbollah, and indeed both the US, EU, and the Arab regimes grew irritated by Iran-Syria’s meddling in Lebanon. Every Arab country fears for its own Shiite population which Iran can steer at the next step.



Oil price vindicates Bin Laden’s forecast

Oil reached the record $124 per barrel, touching the lower limit suggested for the Arab national commodity by Bin Laden about 10 years ago.
Thanks to the US invasion of Iraq, oil corporations experience windfall profits.

Israeli-Syrian meeting won’t happen

any time soon. Turkey announced failure of its mediation efforts. So we can enjoy the Golan Heights for a few more months.

 
 
January 30
 
 

To end the Palestinian show, stop paying for tickets

Hamas-Fatah polarization is artificial. Their struggle is about the donors' money: which group would embezzle it and whether the funds will pay salaries of Fatah or Hamas militias. In the Palestinian Gold Rush, Hamas relies on popular opinion and rogue Muslim regimes, while the locally discredited Fatah clings to Israel and the West for paternal protection. Hamas tenders to Muslim dreams with anti-Israeli slogans, while Fatah caters to Western dreams with pro-Israeli declarations. When addressing fellow Muslims, Fatah is stringently anti-Israeli just like Hamas. Prostituting Abbas is ready to put his tongue and pen on Israeli TV and the peace treaty, respectively, to remain in charge of the billions of dollars of aid. He stands tall and ready to fight Hamas to death for the aid money.

The best generic prescription in any war is attritting your enemy. That includes economic attrition and fully applies to the Arab enemy. "To stop the civil bloodshed in Palestine," Israel must end her payments to the PLO, and do her utmost to stop and intercept the foreign payments.

With rockets, RPGs, mortars, grenades, and machine guns, Palestinian warriors killed only about three dozens of each other. A formidable enemy, indeed.

 
 
January 30
posted in Israel
 
 

Populism is entrenched in the Israeli Finance Ministry. 700 shekels ($164) proposed subsidy to families with three children and two working parents is ludicrous. Such families are the apogee of morality: the parents, hard-working and poor (with meager $1,000 income) still brought up three Jewish children (ugly, the subsidy also benefits Muslim families). They deserve much more from the state.

The Finance Ministry is wrong to push women to work. Jewish mothers are more important to Israeli society than semi-skilled workers. Jewish tradition takes precedence over political correctness, socialism, and feminism.

Foreign Minister Tzippi Livni sounded hopeful in Davos: Palestinian state in Judea "is achievable." A horrible idea of surrendering the core Jewish land is the goal of Israeli Foreign Minister. Livni said that she "voted to uproot Israelis [in Gaza] in order to give peace a chance." Not for a certain peace, not for the peace she was sure of, not based on the rational analysis: just to give a chance, to gamble with the lives of 10,000 Jews in Gaza. Shimon Peres, for his part, amused the serious crowd at the Davos Forum with a comic plan of Jewish economic cooperation with Palestinians, uneducated and lacking the work ethics. Or was he serious? On background of the mad Israelis, Abbas was refreshingly sensible at Davos. He demanded return of six million descendants of the 1948 Arab refugees to Israel - not to the Palestinian entity, and required Israeli citizenship for Arabs of Judea and Samaria while incorporating their lands in his state.

How could the Knesset discuss the impeachment when the president is yet to go to trial? He is presumed innocent until proven guilty. Knesset members want to usurp the judicial prerogative and prejudice the court decision. Lawlessness is so typical of Israel.

It wasn't enough for the Israeli leftists to have Arabs on their election roll, to bring Arabs into the Knesset. Kadima-Labor alliance launched an Arab MK into the government to become a minister. Crucially, a minister. He has no assignment yet, not qualified to do anything, and needed for nothing. That's just a show of brotherly - or brothel-ly - fraternity between leftist Jews and Arabs. If you're honest, make Arab a Defense Minister. A Chief of Staff. A Mossad director. Pack and go back to Russian ghettos.

 
 
January 30
posted in peace process
 
 

PIJ's admonition to Israel

Palestinian terrorists are doing the job of Israeli government propaganda. Or, rather, undoing it. Al Aqsa-PIJ's joint operation in Eilat drives home to Israelis the lesson: there could be no peace with Palestine. Sworn enemies have to be attritted through killing, preferably killed out; there's no other way to peace with them. Dead enemies are the best peace partners.

Al Aqsa Martyrs' Brigade belongs to Fatah-PLO, the very organization praised as moderate by Israeli and American political swindlers and showered with money. Palestinian Islamic Jihad is a niche terrorist organization, one of the several such groups conveniently avoided in the simplistic portrayal of moderate Fatah against radical Hamas. Wait, Hamas is not radical. By the Palestinian standarda, Hamas is very mainstream. There are real radicals.

Jews in Tel Aviv partied when Hizbollah's rockets fell on Haifa. Jews enjoyed Eilat vacations when Hamas' rockets hit Sderot. Al Aqsa-PIJ did a great hasbara job: they reminded the Jews that none of us is safe while our brothers and sisters are being killed. No part of the country, however far, is too far for our enemies. No place, however conceded to Israel by treaties, is lost in Arab hearts.

After the giveaway of Sinai, Egyptian soldiers killed and wounded a total of 37 Israelis near Eilat. Palestinians killed another Israeli, and three more today. Muslims know how to reach peace with the Jews: by killing us. Jews need to learn that tactical wisdom.

 
 
January 29
posted in Iran
 
 

Truce the UN style

IAEA offered Iran a "timeout," simultaneous freeze on the Iranian nuclear program and the UN sanctions. That's essentially truce, and truce benefits the aggressor. Iran could use the time to procure more centrifuges to obtain twenty, rather than one warhead in the next year. Its goal is 64,000 centrifuges instead of the 3,000 being deployed now. Iran will also clean the assets of its two major banks hit by the US. Lifting of sanctions would allow Iran to purchase centrifuges and other necessary equipment. Iran won't stop the tacit work, such as research on ballistic missiles and warhead design. Khamenei could have long stopped the Iranian nuclear program, had he wished so. He just uses Ahmadinejad as an expendable front for his own nuclear ambitions. Ahmadinejad allows Khamenei to pursue nuclear weapons while remaining unscathed by critics. Nuking the Iranian nuclear facilities out of existence is not just the surest, but the only way to stop nuclearly minded mullahs.

The West time and again refuses to discern subtleties in the words of Muslims. Iran both works on installing the centrifuges (in the words of a politician) and has no centrifuges in place (in the words of the Iranian atomic agency bureaucrat). Both statements are true: Iran installs the centrifuges but doesn't yet have them all operational.

 
 
January 28
posted in peace process
 
 

Civil war servants

It's hard to funnel a fire, and still harder to constructively channel popular hatreds. Israeli involvement in civil war in Lebanon, and the American - in Afghanistan brought many side effects and did not fulfill the goals. Now Israel and America fan the civil conflict in Palestine. So far, they don't succeed. The figures of 20 dead and 66 wounded are comic on the background of participants using mortars and machine guns in crowds. The low wounded-to-dead ratio is suspicious: it's usually 20:1 or more in mob riots. Palestine is unlikely to slip into civil war: most locals are unwarlike, cautious of both Hamas and Fatah, and not willing to sacrifice their miserable well-being for high-flown ideology.

The idea behind the freezing of aid to Palestine was to convince the masses, specifically government employees and security forces who depend on the aid for payroll, that Hamas is their bad choice. The opposite idea of subsidizing Abbas to pay their wages similarly intends to set up the locals against Hamas. Both contradictory approaches are irrelevant. Israelis should have learned in Lebanon, and Americans - in Afghanistan that money don't buy loyalty; locals take your money to do their own bidding. What's Abbas' bidding? Even if he chooses to betray his nation, Hamas-dominated parliament and guerrillas won't let him to accommodate Israel. Even if he pushes through, enough Arabs will disregard the treaty. More likely, Abbas would be forced to adopt Hamas' militant vocabulary to lure its voters. Abbas relies on 80,000+ security forces and yet cannot quash the Hamas. Palestinian government forces are better equipped than Hamas, and better paid. They are also more numerous than Hamas' active militants. America's arming the PLO-Fatah is not only immoral, but also useless: Abbas' problem is not arms or training. Abbas is faced with vigilant, aggressive segment of the Palestinians which won't go away, nor give way.

 
 
January 27
posted in Iran
 
 

Ahmadinejad is far from doomed

It's all greed, greed and silliness. Iran receives 85% of its revenues from oil and gas exports and critically depends on import of gasoline. It is enough to stop the Iranian oil sales and gasoline exports to Iran to finish off that country and force any concessions from it. The West need not even suffer the oil price hike (nuclear-free Iran is very much worth a few extra cents per gallon on your local gas station): Saudi Arabia, Russia, and Central Asian countries would gladly supply the Iranian quota. The world will see it could live without the Middle East oil in part, and perhaps at all.

International media tout the Iranian middle class' dissatisfaction with Ahmadinejad's economic policies. That's irrelevant. Paupers are happy that others are sinking to their level; paupers and radicals make the majority though they rarely give interviews or participate in polls. Crowds cheer at Ahmadinejad's every speech.

Ahmadinejad's allies fared poorly in local elections. That's not a sign of distrust. He is a common type of charismatic leader, a lone wolf. Ahmadinejad could receive a windfall vote while all his allies lose elections. Many undeveloped societies are leader-oriented and show the similar result: president is swept into the office while his party loses parliamentary elections. Ahmadinejad is popular.

Iranians knew about his economic mismanagement at least since he was a mayor of Tehran. At that time, he also was annoyingly fundamentalist to the extent of removing some advertising billboards. Notwithstanding the middle class objections, Ahmadinejad was voted a president.

Impeachment is not realistic, and the next presidential elections are not in sight. Ahmadinejad basks in friendship of leftist leaders around the world. Russia and China substantially support Iran, and Western Europe hesitates to alienate it. Iranian parliament agrees with Ahmadinejad on the hard line with IAEA and UN. At the very least, ascetic Ahmadinejad could live without local or foreign ovations.

Don't count on Iranian voters to do the job of the Western military.

The repeated American statements of no intention to attack Iran have adverse effect of provoking the rogue regime, rather than pacifying the region. The US doesn't need to surprise the ramshackle Iranian army, and could safely make Iran an ultimatum. Iran launches missiles, expels IAEA inspectors, proclaims the objective of destroying Israel and harming the Great Satan, supports terrorists, and develops nuclear weapons. What of the above is not a sufficient casus belli? Instead, America remains bogged down in a proxy war in Iraq which Iran props to divert the US military from its nuclear program. The keys to ending Iraqi bloodshed are in Iran. Shiite guerrillas could obtain money through racket and oil trafficking, but critically depend on Iran for arms and support. To refrain from attacking Iran because of the Iraqi war is nonsense. Iran should be attacked if only to stop the Iraqi war. Besides the other good reasons.

 
 
January 26
posted in nuclear weapons
 
 

Everyman's nukes

Russia wants nuclear proliferation: mild enough to preserve Russian nuclear dominance, but sufficient to upset the US security. Chinese, Indian, North Korean, and Iranian nuclear weapons are Russian peripheral wars against America. Instead of financing the wars, Russia tacitly approves of proliferators in the Security Council. Cheap and efficient. Russia accepts to have some of its nuclear material stolen in order to keep heat under the US, but resists large-scale pillaging which would establish Russia as failed state unable to control its nuclear arsenal and could even provoke the talks of American intervention.

The news of Georgian police catching a smuggler of weapons-grade uranium are suspicious. The smuggler was caught and sentenced months ago, but no information was leaked to the public. That's incompatible with very talkative nature of Georgians. Local law does not provide for closed trials, and smuggler would have an attorney who would surely talk. Uranium is usually easy to trace to a particular production facility; Georgians claim they cannot. The embattled Georgians possibly framed the hostile Russia. Nevertheless, Russian nuclear stocks are leaking. Security services of various countries intercepted stolen weapons-grade uranium on occasion. While many labs could enrich small quantities of uranium to over 90%, the black market uranium and plutonium is likely Russian. Most of the intercepted sales involved small quantities, but about 3kgs of uranium were caught in 1994. Hardly all sales were stopped, many certainly went through. It takes only 16kgs of uranium or 5kgs of plutonium to build a high-end 15kt nuclear bomb. Russian, Ukrainian, and Pakistani physicists and mathematicians could design sophisticated bomb for nuclear aspirants. And so Zawahiri's threat of reprisal far worse than anything the Americans have seen sounds credible.

 
 
January 26
posted in Israel
 
 

One man's sex is another man's opportunity

Tzipi Livni, a prime ministerial hopeful, brandished her ignorance when declared that Moshe Katsav should not fight for his innocence from the presidential office. No one should fight for his innocence; it's the police duty to prove guilt, surely before defaming Israeli president, not the worse politico around. His guilt, if any, is in his pants; Olmert-Livni's guilt is in their heads and hearts. A lot of males in Israeli mid-to-high political offices have coercive or otherwise sex with their female employees; Katsav is singled out for prosecution. His corpus delicti amounts to sexual harassment at most, not rape. The case rests on the girl's testimony and is ultimately non-provable. Leftist attorney general Meni Mazuz has embarked on yet another witch-hunt. Previously, he pushed Sharon into the corner with allegations of corruption against him and his children in unessential case of no national interest. Mazuz' investigation played a role, possibly the role, in Sharon's acquiescence to the leftist demands of evacuation from Gaza.  Mazuz is much less critical of corrupt Olmert and his wife, the bribe conduit. Olmert, an archetype of corruption and treason, has audacity to urge Katsav to step down. Olmert needs a peacenick figure like Shimon Peres for president to wholeheartedly support the giveaway of Judea and Samaria to Arabs. The impeachment is unnecessary: Katsav's term ends in summer. Olmert wants the Knesset speaker Dalia Itzik of Kadima to become acting president for a few months to cover Olmert' prostituting away the Jewish land to Abbas. Katsav is accused of raping a girl; Olmert raped the country in Gush Katif and wants more fun in Judea.

 
 
January 25
posted in Uncategorized
 
 

Hi everyone!I tried three different fonts/ sizes in the three articles below. Please comment on which font/size you like best. Just mention the preferred article's name. Let's make our blog nicer  )Best wishes,Danny